ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation

XOM
EnergyDividend Aristocrat
$162.55
2.53%Overvalued

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM) is a Energy company that currently yields 2.53% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $52.74 and the overvaluation threshold at $122.11. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation holds a quality score of 53/100 (Average), reflecting 25 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 53% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at 2.8%.

XOM Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $52.74Overval. $122.11

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 67.6% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $52.74, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 7.81% yield. That is 5.28% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$52.74

Target yield

7.81%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated Oct 1, 2026

Dividend durability

25Y

Long dividend history supports a deeper look.

Earnings payout

53%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

82%

Free cash flow coverage supports the payment.

Dividend growth

2.8%

Lower growth changes the return trade-off.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-09-30 → 2026-10-01

No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.

Why Now?

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 2.5% vs historical max 6.9% (37% of maximum).

14 consecutive years without a dividend cut.

Conservative payout ratio of 53%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 53/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Start by checking whether payout coverage and business durability still support the dividend.

XOM Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$261

Year 10 Income

$433

Yield on Cost

4.47%

Total Income

$3,386

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

Track actual vs. projected

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Dividend income log · Yield on cost · DRIP cost basis · Tax reports

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More research

Full price history & technical analysis

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Fundamentals, valuation & analyst ratings

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Moat rating & analyst fair value

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XOM Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

53/ 100

Average

Payout Ratio20/25
Dividend Streak20/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)8/20
Yield vs History0/15
FCF Coverage5/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$162.55
Annual Dividend$4.12
Current Yield2.53%
Yield — Max (10Y)6.93%
Yield — Min (10Y)3.47%
Undervalued Below$52.74
Overvalued Above$122.11
Payout Ratio52.51%
CAGR Dividend 5Y2.8%
CAGR Dividend 10Y3.3%
Years No Cut14y

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25
consecutive years of dividend growth