Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is a Energy company that currently yields 2.99% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $52.23 and the overvaluation threshold at $118.88. Exxon Mobil Corporation holds a quality score of 40/100 (Average), reflecting 25 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 68% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at 2.8%.
XOM Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation
Distance to undervalued
Entry price is stretched
Needs 61.7% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone
Undervaluation starts near $52.23, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 7.81% yield. That is 4.82% above today's yield.
Buy-zone price
$52.23
Target yield
7.81%
Research checklist
What to clear before buying the yield
Updated Jun 29, 2026
Dividend durability
25YLong dividend history supports a deeper look.
Earnings payout
68%Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.
Cash payout
147%Confirm cash conversion and one-off effects.
Dividend growth
2.8%Lower growth changes the return trade-off.
What changed
What changed since the last update
2026-06-28 → 2026-06-29
No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.
Why Now?
Exxon Mobil Corporation is trading near its historical overvaluation band.
Current yield 3.0% vs historical max 7.0% (43% of maximum).
14 consecutive years without a dividend cut.
Reasonable payout ratio of 68%.
What matters now
Read the signal before the headline yield
Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.
The 40/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.
Free cash flow payout is above 100%, so cash coverage is the first risk to unpack.
XOM Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder
Dividend Compounder (DRIP)
Year 1 Income
$307
Year 10 Income
$534
Yield on Cost
5.55%
Total Income
$4,091
Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.
Track actual vs. projected
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Morningstar ↗Track dividends received & tax reports
Sharesight ↗XOM Dividend Quality Score
Quality Score
Average
Key Metrics
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