ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation

XOM
EnergyDividend Aristocrat
$159.80
2.55%Overvalued

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM) is a Energy company that currently yields 2.55% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $52.23 and the overvaluation threshold at $119.87. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation holds a quality score of 53/100 (Average), reflecting 25 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 53% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at 2.8%.

XOM Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $52.23Overval. $119.87

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 67.3% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $52.23, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 7.81% yield. That is 5.26% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$52.23

Target yield

7.81%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated Aug 12, 2026

Dividend durability

25Y

Long dividend history supports a deeper look.

Earnings payout

53%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

82%

Free cash flow coverage supports the payment.

Dividend growth

2.8%

Lower growth changes the return trade-off.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-08-112026-08-12

Quality score

+8

45/100 53/100

Quality score improved by 8 points.

Payout ratio

-15.50 pp

68% 53%

Payout ratio declined by 16 percentage points.

Why Now?

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 2.6% vs historical max 7.0% (37% of maximum).

14 consecutive years without a dividend cut.

Conservative payout ratio of 53%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 53/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Start by checking whether payout coverage and business durability still support the dividend.

XOM Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$262

Year 10 Income

$437

Yield on Cost

4.51%

Total Income

$3,414

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

Track actual vs. projected

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Dividend income log · Yield on cost · DRIP cost basis · Tax reports

More research

Full price history & technical analysis

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Fundamentals, valuation & analyst ratings

FinViz ↗

Moat rating & analyst fair value

Morningstar ↗

Track dividends received & tax reports

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XOM Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

53/ 100

Average

Payout Ratio20/25
Dividend Streak20/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)8/20
Yield vs History0/15
FCF Coverage5/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$159.80
Annual Dividend$4.08
Current Yield2.55%
Yield — Max (10Y)6.96%
Yield — Min (10Y)3.49%
Undervalued Below$52.23
Overvalued Above$119.87
Payout Ratio52.51%
CAGR Dividend 5Y2.8%
CAGR Dividend 10Y3.3%
Years No Cut14y

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25
consecutive years of dividend growth