The TJX Companies, Inc.

TJX
Consumer Cyclical
$138.49
0.96%Overvalued

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is a Consumer Cyclical company that currently yields 0.96% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $73.47 and the overvaluation threshold at $135.39. The TJX Companies, Inc. holds a quality score of 45/100 (Average), reflecting 5 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 33% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at -17.8%.

TJX Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $73.47Overval. $135.39

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 46.9% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $73.47, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 1.81% yield. That is 0.85% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$73.47

Target yield

1.81%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated Oct 7, 2026

Dividend durability

5Y

Verify the dividend record before treating yield as durable.

Earnings payout

33%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

48%

Free cash flow coverage supports the payment.

Dividend growth

-17.8%

Lower growth changes the return trade-off.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-10-06 → 2026-10-07

Price

+2.3%

$135.34 → $138.49

Price rose 2.3% since the prior snapshot.

Why Now?

The TJX Companies, Inc. is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 1.0% vs historical max 1.8% (54% of maximum).

Recent dividend history shows no sustained growth streak.

Conservative payout ratio of 32%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 45/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Start by checking whether payout coverage and business durability still support the dividend.

TJX Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$96

Year 10 Income

$105

Yield on Cost

1.06%

Total Income

$1,005

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

Track actual vs. projected

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TJX Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

45/ 100

Average

Payout Ratio25/25
Dividend Streak0/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)0/20
Yield vs History5/15
FCF Coverage15/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$138.49
Annual Dividend$1.33
Current Yield0.96%
Yield — Max (10Y)1.78%
Yield — Min (10Y)1.06%
Undervalued Below$73.47
Overvalued Above$135.39
Payout Ratio32.50%
CAGR Dividend 5Y-17.8%
CAGR Dividend 10Y-0.1%
Years No Cut—

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5
consecutive years of dividend growth