The J. M. Smucker Company

SJM
Consumer DefensiveDividend Aristocrat
$117.50
3.76%Fair Value

The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) is a Consumer Defensive company that currently yields 3.76% — trading near fair value based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $105.72 and the overvaluation threshold at $144.63. The J. M. Smucker Company holds a quality score of 58/100 (Average), reflecting 25 consecutive years of dividend growth. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at 4.1%.

SJM Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $105.72Overval. $144.63

Distance to undervalued

Waiting for a better entry

Needs about 10.0% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $105.72, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 4.18% yield. That is 0.42% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$105.72

Target yield

4.18%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated Oct 7, 2026

Dividend durability

25Y

Long dividend history supports a deeper look.

Earnings payout

206%

Coverage deserves a closer look in filings.

Cash payout

33%

Free cash flow coverage supports the payment.

Dividend growth

4.1%

Recent growth adds income compounding potential.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-10-06 → 2026-10-07

No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.

Why Now?

The J. M. Smucker Company is trading at a fair valuation relative to its dividend history.

Current yield 3.8% vs historical max 4.1% (91% of maximum).

14 consecutive years without a dividend cut.

Elevated payout ratio of 206%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is neutral here: quality has to do more of the work than entry price.

The 58/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

The earnings payout ratio is above 100%, so coverage is the first risk to unpack.

SJM Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$392

Year 10 Income

$844

Yield on Cost

8.92%

Total Income

$5,862

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

Track actual vs. projected

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Dividend income log · Yield on cost · DRIP cost basis · Tax reports

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More research

Full price history & technical analysis

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Fundamentals, valuation & analyst ratings

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Moat rating & analyst fair value

Morningstar ↗

Track dividends received & tax reports

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SJM Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

58/ 100

Average

Payout Ratio0/25
Dividend Streak20/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)8/20
Yield vs History15/15
FCF Coverage15/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$117.50
Annual Dividend$4.42
Current Yield3.76%
Yield — Max (10Y)4.11%
Yield — Min (10Y)2.94%
Undervalued Below$105.72
Overvalued Above$144.63
Payout Ratio205.61%
CAGR Dividend 5Y4.1%
CAGR Dividend 10Y5.2%
Years No Cut14y

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25
consecutive years of dividend growth