Northrop Grumman Corporation

NOC
Industrials
$555.58
1.48%Overvalued

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is a Industrials company that currently yields 1.48% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $433.72 and the overvaluation threshold at $583.49. Northrop Grumman Corporation holds a quality score of 35/100 (Risky), reflecting 14 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 29% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at -18.3%.

NOC Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $433.72Overval. $583.49

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 21.9% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $433.72, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 1.90% yield. That is 0.42% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$433.72

Target yield

1.90%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated May 25, 2026

Dividend durability

14Y

Long dividend history supports a deeper look.

Earnings payout

29%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

64%

Free cash flow coverage supports the payment.

Dividend growth

-18.3%

Lower growth changes the return trade-off.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-05-232026-05-25

No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.

Why Now?

Northrop Grumman Corporation is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 1.5% vs historical max 4.0% (37% of maximum).

Recent dividend history shows no sustained growth streak.

Conservative payout ratio of 29%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 35/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Start by checking whether payout coverage and business durability still support the dividend.

NOC Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$148

Year 10 Income

$169

Yield on Cost

1.72%

Total Income

$1,586

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

More research

Full price history & technical analysis

TradingView ↗

Fundamentals, valuation & analyst ratings

FinViz ↗

Moat rating & analyst fair value

Morningstar ↗

NOC Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

35/ 100

Risky

Payout Ratio25/25
Dividend Streak0/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)0/20
Yield vs History0/15
FCF Coverage10/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$555.58
Annual Dividend$8.24
Current Yield1.48%
Yield — Max (10Y)4.00%
Yield — Min (10Y)1.44%
Undervalued Below$433.72
Overvalued Above$583.49
Payout Ratio28.97%
CAGR Dividend 5Y-18.3%
CAGR Dividend 10Y-4.0%
Years No Cut

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14
consecutive years of dividend growth