Microsoft Corporation

MSFT
Technology
$512.90
0.58%Overvalued

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is a Technology company that currently yields 0.58% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $136.06 and the overvaluation threshold at $447.10. Microsoft Corporation holds a quality score of 33/100 (Risky), reflecting 14 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 20% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at 3.5%.

MSFT Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $136.06Overval. $447.10

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 73.5% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $136.06, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 2.20% yield. That is 1.62% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$136.06

Target yield

2.20%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated Oct 1, 2026

Dividend durability

14Y

Long dividend history supports a deeper look.

Earnings payout

20%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

176%

Confirm cash conversion and one-off effects.

Dividend growth

3.5%

Recent growth adds income compounding potential.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-09-30 → 2026-10-01

No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.

Why Now?

Microsoft Corporation is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 0.6% vs historical max 3.2% (18% of maximum).

Recent dividend history shows no sustained growth streak.

Conservative payout ratio of 20%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 33/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Free cash flow payout is above 100%, so cash coverage is the first risk to unpack.

MSFT Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$61

Year 10 Income

$88

Yield on Cost

0.89%

Total Income

$733

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

Track actual vs. projected

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MSFT Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

33/ 100

Risky

Payout Ratio25/25
Dividend Streak0/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)8/20
Yield vs History0/15
FCF Coverage0/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$512.90
Annual Dividend$3.00
Current Yield0.58%
Yield — Max (10Y)3.25%
Yield — Min (10Y)0.70%
Undervalued Below$136.06
Overvalued Above$447.10
Payout Ratio19.83%
CAGR Dividend 5Y3.5%
CAGR Dividend 10Y6.9%
Years No Cut—

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14
consecutive years of dividend growth