Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST
Consumer Defensive
$1028.24
0.45%Overvalued

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is a Consumer Defensive company that currently yields 0.45% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $370.38 and the overvaluation threshold at $957.66. Costco Wholesale Corporation holds a quality score of 40/100 (Average), reflecting 1 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 27% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at -15.9%.

COST Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $370.38Overval. $957.66

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 64.0% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $370.38, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 1.25% yield. That is 0.80% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$370.38

Target yield

1.25%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated May 25, 2026

Dividend durability

1Y

Verify the dividend record before treating yield as durable.

Earnings payout

27%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

39%

Free cash flow coverage supports the payment.

Dividend growth

-15.9%

Lower growth changes the return trade-off.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-05-232026-05-25

No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.

Why Now?

Costco Wholesale Corporation is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 0.5% vs historical max 1.4% (32% of maximum).

Recent dividend history shows no sustained growth streak.

Conservative payout ratio of 27%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 40/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Start by checking whether payout coverage and business durability still support the dividend.

COST Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$45

Year 10 Income

$47

Yield on Cost

0.47%

Total Income

$461

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

More research

Full price history & technical analysis

TradingView ↗

Fundamentals, valuation & analyst ratings

FinViz ↗

Moat rating & analyst fair value

Morningstar ↗

COST Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

40/ 100

Average

Payout Ratio25/25
Dividend Streak0/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)0/20
Yield vs History0/15
FCF Coverage15/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$1028.24
Annual Dividend$4.64
Current Yield0.45%
Yield — Max (10Y)1.39%
Yield — Min (10Y)0.50%
Undervalued Below$370.38
Overvalued Above$957.66
Payout Ratio27.04%
CAGR Dividend 5Y-15.9%
CAGR Dividend 10Y-2.9%
Years No Cut

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consecutive years of dividend growth