American Express Company

AXP
Financial Services
$336.00
0.83%Overvalued

American Express Company (AXP) is a Financial Services company that currently yields 0.83% — historically overvalued based on 10 years of dividend yield history. The Weiss valuation model places the undervaluation threshold at $155.71 and the overvaluation threshold at $310.92. American Express Company holds a quality score of 25/100 (Risky), reflecting 14 consecutive years of dividend growth with a 21% payout ratio. The 5-year dividend CAGR stands at -16.5%.

AXP Dividend Yield History — Weiss Valuation

Underval. $155.71Overval. $310.92

Distance to undervalued

Entry price is stretched

Needs 53.7% downside to reach the Weiss buy zone

Undervaluation starts near $155.71, where the annual dividend would imply roughly 1.80% yield. That is 0.96% above today's yield.

Buy-zone price

$155.71

Target yield

1.80%

Research checklist

What to clear before buying the yield

Updated Aug 23, 2026

Dividend durability

14Y

Long dividend history supports a deeper look.

Earnings payout

21%

Earnings coverage leaves room for noise.

Cash payout

N/A

Confirm cash conversion and one-off effects.

Dividend growth

-16.5%

Lower growth changes the return trade-off.

What changed

What changed since the last update

2026-08-222026-08-23

No major change in signal, yield, price, quality, or payout since the last update.

Why Now?

American Express Company is trading near its historical overvaluation band.

Current yield 0.8% vs historical max 1.9% (45% of maximum).

Recent dividend history shows no sustained growth streak.

Conservative payout ratio of 21%.

What matters now

Read the signal before the headline yield

Valuation is the brake here: the yield is compressed versus its own history.

The 25/100 quality score says the headline yield needs extra skepticism.

Start by checking whether payout coverage and business durability still support the dividend.

AXP Dividend Income Projection — DRIP Compounder

Dividend Compounder (DRIP)

$

Year 1 Income

$83

Year 10 Income

$90

Yield on Cost

0.91%

Total Income

$865

Assumes dividends reinvested at current price. Simplified model — for illustrative purposes only.

Track actual vs. projected

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More research

Full price history & technical analysis

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Fundamentals, valuation & analyst ratings

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Moat rating & analyst fair value

Morningstar ↗

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AXP Dividend Quality Score

Quality Score

25/ 100

Risky

Payout Ratio25/25
Dividend Streak0/25
Growth (CAGR 5Y)0/20
Yield vs History0/15
FCF Coverage0/15

Key Metrics

Current Price$336.00
Annual Dividend$2.80
Current Yield0.83%
Yield — Max (10Y)1.87%
Yield — Min (10Y)0.95%
Undervalued Below$155.71
Overvalued Above$310.92
Payout Ratio21.48%
CAGR Dividend 5Y-16.5%
CAGR Dividend 10Y-4.4%
Years No Cut

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14
consecutive years of dividend growth